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Balanced Conditions Define Ottawa’s Housing Market in January

Market Overview

Ottawa’s residential market entered 2026 on a balanced footing. Inventory levels remain higher than in recent years, giving buyers more choice, while sellers continue to adjust to conditions that reward accurate pricing and patience. Benchmark prices are down year over year across all housing types, with softer conditions most evident in townhouses and apartments. Detached homes continue to show greater price stability. Overall, January’s data points to a market that is operating more evenly, rather than one under broad-based pressure.

“What January is showing us is a market that’s adjusting in a healthy way,” said Tami Eades, President of the Ottawa Real Estate Board. “We’re seeing more choice for buyers, more realism on the selling side, and pricing that’s responding to those conditions without sharp swings. That kind of balance is a sign of stability, not stress.”

Residential Market Activity

In January, 610 residential properties sold in Ottawa, reflecting a typical post-holiday slowdown while also signalling a steadier start to the year. Sales were 5.6% lower than a year ago but remained within the range of long-term January norms. This points to demand that is still present, even as buyers continue to proceed cautiously amid ongoing affordability considerations.

Pricing activity also reflected seasonal conditions rather than renewed weakness. The average residential sale price was $641,436, down 4.5% from January 2025, a change consistent with winter market dynamics and a more price-sensitive buyer pool. Recent interest rate reductions have begun to ease pressure at the margins. January’s data suggests their impact is appearing first in buyer engagement rather than completed transactions.

The MLS® Home Price Index provides further context. In January, the composite benchmark price declined modestly month over month, with single-family, townhouse, and apartment benchmarks all posting small decreases.

Prices and Market Balance

Supply conditions continue to vary significantly by property type. Overall, new listings totalled 1,522 units, up 8.8% year over year, while active listings reached 2,673. This is an increase of 22.7% from last January. Although inventory levels remain elevated compared to recent seasonal norms, growth has slowed, helping to prevent a buildup of excess supply.

With months of inventory at 4.4, Ottawa’s market is operating closer to long-term, pre-pandemic averages. This level of supply is providing buyers with more choice and negotiating flexibility, while still allowing well-priced homes to attract solid interest. Rather than putting sharp downward pressure on prices, current inventory levels are supporting a more balanced market.

Property Type Breakdown

As noted above, differences in market performance by property type continued to shape Ottawa’s market in January.

Single-Family Homes

Detached homes remained the market’s most stable segment, even as winter conditions weighed on overall activity. In January, 276 single-family homes sold, down 13.8% year over year. Supply levels remained comparatively balanced at 4.3 months of inventory, supported by 1,177 active listings, and 663 new listings, essentially flat year over year. 

Prices softened modestly. The average sale price was $793,874, down 3.6% year over year, while the median price held at $750,000, unchanged from last January. Together, these indicators suggest that detached home pricing is adjusting in an orderly manner. The single-family benchmark price also edged lower year over year, marking a shift from the modest gains seen late last year; the decline remains limited. 

Townhomes

Townhome sales rose to 215 units, up 6.4% year over year, while new listings increased sharply to 487, up 45.8% from January 2025 and well above December’s 176 new listings. Active listings climbed to 708, a 67.0% increase year over year. 

As supply increased, leverage has shifted modestly toward buyers. Months of inventory rose to 3.3, and pricing reflected this adjustment. The average townhouse sale price was $536,106, down 3.3% year over year, while the median price declined 3.4% to $560,000. The townhouse benchmark price was down 3.2% year over year, but rose 1.0% compared to December. 

Apartments

The apartment segment showed a constructive month-over-month shift in January, marking a contrast to late 2025. In January, apartment-condo sales increased to 95 from 78 in December, and months of inventory decreased to 6.8 from 7.9, an indication of stronger absorption.  

At the same time, supply expanded meaningfully. New listings rose to 312 from 144 in December, and active listings increased to 647 from 617. In other words, January brought a sizeable seasonal influx of condo listings, but improved sales activity helped prevent a further deterioration in market balance.  

Pricing in this segment remains the most sensitive anywhere across the Ottawa market. The average apartment sale price was $388,307, down 12.1% from January 2025 and lower than December’s $401,465. While condo pricing continues to adjust, January’s combination of higher sales and lower months of inventory suggests that conditions may be starting to stabilize. 

Months of Inventory:

  • Single Family: 4.3
  • Townhome: 3.3
  • Apartment: 6.8

Looking Ahead

January’s data reflects a familiar winter pattern, with slower sales and cautious buyer behaviour shaped by seasonal factors and ongoing economic uncertainty. At the same time, there are early signs that market conditions are beginning to firm. The apartment segment, in particular, showed improving absorption, with lower months of inventory alongside higher sales and dollar volume.

Townhome activity held up, while detached trends remained steady, reinforcing a market that is segmented by property type but remains largely balanced overall.

This picture aligns with CREA’s outlook for 2026, which anticipates improving conditions as lower interest rates gradually draw more sidelined demand back into the market. January supports a credible case for a stronger spring market if rate reductions continue to ease affordability pressures.


Housing and Affordability Take Centre Stage in Ottawa’s 2026 Municipal Election

While nearly half of voters undecided for mayor and council, Sutcliffe starts 2026 with a lead

Ottawa, ON – With less than nine months until Ottawa voters head to the polls, a wide-open municipal election is taking shape, and housing affordability is emerging as one of the clearest issues likely to determine who wins and who loses.

To date, three candidates have officially declared their intention to run for mayor: Mark Sutcliffe, the incumbent; Jeff Leiper, a long-time Kitchissippi Ward councillor and chair of the city’s planning and housing committee; and Alex Lawson, a local home builder. Neil Saravanamuttoo, an economist with senior experience at Finance Canada and the G20 Global Infrastructure Hub, recently announced that he is considering entering the race.

New public opinion research from the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) was conducted in December 2025 by Abacus Data, prior to Lawson and Saravanamuttoo jumping into the race. It shows that 49% of Ottawa residents remain undecided about who they will support for mayor, while 47% are undecided at the city council level, underscoring how unpredictable the race is.

On the question of voting intention for mayor, 28% would cast their ballot for Mayor Mark Sutcliffe, 10% for Councillor Jeff Leiper, and 49% are undecided if the election were held today.

Similarly, 32% of residents would vote to re-elect their current city councillor, and 47% are undecided on how to vote if the election were held today.

At the same time, many residents are questioning whether the city is doing enough, quickly, setting the stage for housing, cost of living, and service delivery to become decisive election issues.

A city divided on direction, with voters still up for grabs

According to the survey, almost four in ten Ottawa residents (38%) believe the city is headed in the right direction, while a similar share believes the city is on the wrong track, and a significant portion remain unsure.

This uncertainty in the city’s direction mirrors the uncertainty in the political landscape, with roughly half of voters still weighing their choices for both mayor and council.

“With nearly half of voters undecided, the election in Ottawa is still taking shape,” said Tami Eades, president of the Ottawa Real Estate Board. “Voters are forming their opinions, so there is a real opportunity for candidates in these early stages to focus on policy and what solutions they’ll bring to council if elected. One thing is clear: the data shows that housing affordability and cost of living are front of mind as voters assess who they trust to lead the city.”

Cost of living and housing dominate voter priorities

Housing affordability and cost of living stand out as the most important issues shaping how residents will vote.

More than one in three residents (37%) identify cost of living as the most important issue facing Ottawa today, followed by housing affordability (19%), transit reliability (11%), and homelessness and encampments (10%). When asked what candidates should be focused on heading into the 2026 election, nearly two-thirds (63%) say cost of living should be a priority, while more than half (53%) point to housing affordability.

Housing and related costs are set to play a decisive role at the ballot box. Eighty-two per cent of residents say housing-related issues will be important in determining who they support in the 2026 municipal election, underscoring the central role housing policy will play in shaping the next council’s agenda.

“A home is the biggest cost in most family budgets,” said Eades. “With so many voters undecided, candidates have a real opportunity to connect with voters on issues like housing and get them interested in their campaigns.”

Residents want action and results on housing

The research shows that Ottawa residents are concerned about the state of housing. Nearly four in five residents (79%) say housing is unaffordable, while only five per cent believe it is affordable today. Over the past year, 52% say affordability for homebuyers has worsened, and 57% say affordability for renters has declined, despite market statistics showing some easing, highlighting sustained pressure across both ownership and rental markets.

Housing affordability is also reshaping long-term decisions for many households. Among homeowners, nearly one in four (24%) say they plan to give or pass their home on to their children or family members rather than sell it on the open market, a signal of growing concern that homeownership is becoming increasingly out of reach for the next generation.

“For many families, housing affordability has become a generational issue,” said Nicole Christy, CEO of OREB. “Parents are giving up financial flexibility to afford their kids a chance at homeownership and the many benefits it brings. Voters want solutions to this and more.”

Housing policy as a test of leadership

Beyond housing, the survey highlights broader issues shaping voter attitudes ahead of October 26, 2026. Seventy-six per cent of Ottawa residents say they are concerned about the future of downtown, including vacancies, safety, and economic activity. Confidence in major city projects and municipal finances is mixed, and 40% of residents say they would prefer to keep taxes as low as possible, even if services do not improve.

“With so many voters still undecided, housing affordability isn’t just another policy issue, it’s a litmus test,” said Christy. “Candidates who can bring innovative solutions or show real progress on housing will be best positioned to earn trust in 2026.”


About the survey

The Ottawa Real Estate Board–Abacus Data State of Housing Survey was conducted from December 10 to 22, 2025, among 1,000 residents of the City of Ottawa. Results are accurate within ±2.77 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

About the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB)

The Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) is a non-profit association representing more than 4,000 member REALTORS® in the Ottawa region. OREB advocates for policies that promote housing affordability, protect consumers, and support a fair and efficient real estate commercial and residential marketplace.

Media contact

Melanie Coulson
Director of Strategic Communications & Engagement
613-222-7129 | melanie@oreb.ca